Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.010951 0.013283 0.016222 0.020291 0.025939 0.033761 0.045936
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.008554 0.011348 0.015382 0.021976 0.033294 0.053871 0.100555
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.007332 0.010319 0.015048 0.023790 0.041630 0.083428 0.229755
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.006252 0.009141 0.014003 0.023798 0.046581 0.112818 0.481872
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.005430 0.008165 0.012987 0.023375 0.050321 0.145953 1.075421
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004653 0.007115 0.011576 0.021595 0.049480 0.163366 2.011539
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004114 0.006388 0.010621 0.020516 0.050063 0.190431 5.011521
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003770 0.005959 0.010154 0.020433 0.053860 0.247812 38.099268
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003541 0.005704 0.009986 0.021039 0.060752 0.360269 NaN
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003306 0.005404 0.009667 0.021145 0.066024 0.501925 NaN
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003032 0.004997 0.009048 0.020226 0.066189 0.594032 NaN
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002834 0.004720 0.008678 0.019938 0.069369 0.791208 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002724 0.004628 0.008770 0.021306 0.084560 1.818501 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002635 0.004572 0.008947 0.023119 0.107409 7.166893 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002555 0.004520 0.009123 0.025069 0.138290 137.641239 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002404 0.004298 0.008820 0.025077 0.153259 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002254 0.004061 0.008439 0.024623 0.163307 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002070 0.003733 0.007765 0.022711 0.151794 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001929 0.003489 0.007294 0.021554 0.148989 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001836 0.003346 0.007080 0.021465 0.161731 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001774 0.003267 0.007030 0.022114 0.189908 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001702 0.003157 0.006878 0.022228 0.211432 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001606 0.002985 0.006525 0.021243 0.207938 NaN NaN